In the first half of 2018, China's wind power industry showed a rapid growth trend. Due to the impact of clean energy consumption, wind power support acquisition and utilization hours, China's wind abandonment phenomenon has improved. The average utilization hours of wind power equipment in 26 provinces in different countries have different degrees. In addition, the advantage of wind power near the consumption has been highlighted, Shandong, Jiangsu, Guangdong, the average utilization of wind power equipment to lead the country.
Affected by the decline in wind curtailment rate and wind power benchmarking price policy, in the first half of 2018, China's wind power construction sector accelerated significantly, and wind power installed capacity showed a 'blowout' trend. From January to June, the country's newly added wind power grid-connected capacity was 7.94 million kilowatts, accumulating wind power. The grid-connected capacity reached 171.6 million kilowatts. From the perspective of installed capacity, China's wind power construction is mainly concentrated in the east, the central region, Shandong, and Jiangsu are still the main areas leading the growth of wind power installed capacity in China.
CLP Media Power Media Data R&D Center is expected
China's wind power installed capacity will continue, 2018-2019 will become a new node in China's wind power development.
In the first half of the year, the national wind power installed capacity showed explosive growth.
According to the latest data released by the National Energy Administration, in the first half of 2018, China's wind power installed capacity growth rate has increased significantly. The sub-region shows that China's wind power is mainly concentrated in northern North China, northwest region, East China, Central China, and South China. Low. Although the growth rate of wind power installed in the central and central provinces has increased in recent years, the wind power installed capacity of 'North High South Low', which has been going on for many years, is still difficult to change in the short term.
Statistical display
As of the second quarter of 2018, China's cumulative wind power capacity of more than 10 million kilowatts has reached five, and mainly concentrated in North China, Northwest China, respectively, Inner Mongolia, Xinjiang, Gansu, Hebei, Shandong. Among them, Inner Mongolia wind power accumulation The grid-connected capacity is the highest, reaching 27.61 million kilowatts. In Central China, the provinces in East China are relatively low, and the cumulative grid-connected capacity is generally less than 3 million kilowatts.
Accumulated grid capacity growth of wind power
In the first half of 2018, China's wind power continued from the south of the 'Three North' region. The southern part of North China, the East China region, and the southern region are replacing the 'Three North' region, which has become the main region for driving wind power growth in China. Especially Shandong, Jiangsu, In Guangdong's traditional load areas, as well as Henan, Shaanxi and other places, wind power wind power installed capacity is more obvious, relying on the advantages of nearby consumption, the region's offshore wind power, distributed wind power development is rapid.
Statistical data display
Shandong, Jiangsu, Qinghai, and Shaanxi have a year-on-year growth rate of 1.82 million kilowatts, 1.67 million kilowatts, 1.65 million kilowatts, and 1.55 million kilowatts, ranking the top four in the country. The traditional wind power provinces of Xinjiang, Gansu, Ningxia and other regions have basically maintained the same period last year. Level.
It is worth noting that at the beginning of this year, the National Energy Administration reduced the construction of Inner Mongolia's wind power from red warning to orange. In the first half of the year, Inner Mongolia's wind power installed rapidly opened. As of now, Inner Mongolia has reached 27.61 million kilowatts, an increase of 1.5 million kilowatts, the growth rate is in the forefront of the country. .
According to the analysis of CLP Media Power Media Data R&D Center, in the first half of the year, multiple policies were favorable, which brought multiple driving forces for the substantial growth of wind power installed capacity.
First, the wind power benchmark price reduction policy is driven. According to the relevant regulations of the National Energy Administration, approved by the end of 2017, the projects started before 2019 will implement the wind power benchmark price, and the rest of the wind power will implement the bidding online policy. According to statistics, as of the end of 2017, China approved The unbuilt scale reached 68GW. In order to obtain a higher wind power benchmark price, wind power enterprises will bring wind power installed blowout bursts in 2018-2019, which is the main driving force for pulling the wind turbine installed capacity growth.
In addition, China's wind abandonment phenomenon has generally improved, wind power investment returns are expected to be generally good, and wind power enterprises are fully invested and built. Under the clean energy consumption, wind power utilization hours, multiple purchases, and the multi-policy, China's wind power abandonment phenomenon Improved. In March of March 2018, the National Energy Administration released the monitoring and early warning results of wind power investment in 2018. The former 'Hongliu District' was only left in Gansu, Xinjiang, Jilin; Inner Mongolia, Heilongjiang was an orange warning zone, and Chenzhou City in northern Shanxi. Zhangzhou City, Datong City, Yulin City in the northwest of Shaanxi Province, and Zhangjiakou City and Chengde City in Hebei Province are in accordance with the orange early warning management. After the warning was issued, the construction of wind power in Inner Mongolia, Shaanxi, Shanxi and Hebei was lifted, resulting in a large increase in wind power installed capacity in the first half of the year. Increase in range.
Finally, in 2018, the industry called the 'distributed wind power' first year, China's decentralized wind power is becoming a new impetus for wind power construction in southern China, Central China, East China, South China and other places. According to public information, Hebei plans to develop in 2018-2020 Decentralized access to wind power 4.3GW, Henan '13th Five-Year' proposed 2.1GW distributed wind power, Shanxi '13th Five-Year' decentralized wind power project development and construction scale reached 987.3MW. Guangxi, Guizhou and other provinces have already clearly followed up Preparation of decentralized wind power construction planning. At the beginning of 2018, China's first decentralized wind power landed in Liaoning, Shaanxi, Shanxi, Henan distributed wind power appeared everywhere, which to some extent, promoted the capacity of wind power grid-connected.
The national abandonment phenomenon has been greatly improved
In the first half of 2018, China's wind power consumption continued to continue its downward trend in 2017. According to the National Energy Administration's public data, from January to June, the national abandoned wind power was 18.2 billion kWh, a year-on-year decrease of 5.3 billion kWh. The average utilization hours of wind power equipment in China The number is 1143 hours, an increase of 159 hours.
From the absolute value of the average utilization hours of wind power equipment
In the first half of the year, the average utilization hours of wind power equipment in China showed a general growth trend. North China and East China were generally at a high level, while the northwest and south were relatively low. Compared with the same period of last year, the eastern region of Shandong, Jiangsu, and Guangdong used electricity. The province's year-on-year growth reached 399 hours, 285 hours, 299 hours. The three provinces are also the regions with the fastest growth in the average utilization hours of wind power equipment in China. In the 'Three North' region, which continues to be subject to wind pressure, the average hours of utilization of wind power equipment have also been different. The degree of growth, including the red warning zone Gansu, Xinjiang, Jilin, also increased by 237 hours, 115 hours, 240 hours. It is worth noting that Sichuan, Qinghai, Tianjin, the average utilization hours of wind power equipment has declined, The year-on-year decline was as high as 202 hours, 198 hours, 260 hours.
Analysis display
In the first half of 2018, with the help of relevant policies, especially the power trading centers actively promoted the clean energy consumption, the implementation of the wind power support utilization hours acquisition policy played a vital role in wind power consumption. In the first half of the year, the Beijing Electric Power Trading Center and the relevant provincial power trading center actively adopted a market-based trading mechanism to implement 10 relevant market-oriented trading varieties that promote clean energy consumption. Seven trading varieties have been carried out in the normal state. In addition to the variety, Beijing Electric Power Trading Center also explored and piloted three other market-based trading varieties, including pumping power storage and trough new energy trading, clean energy emergency consumption trading and cross-regional renewable energy spot trading. Wind power consumption The market segment was further opened up.
On the other hand, the phenomenon of 'Feng Huo Niu Niu' has been greatly improved. In 2018, the large-scale thermal power flexibility transformation has made room for large-scale consumption of wind power. Especially in the Northeast, North China and Northwest China have achieved great results. Statistics It shows that the space vacated by China's thermal power flexibility transformation is enough to cover the demand for new wind power consumption, and the large-scale thermal power flexibility transformation is expected to achieve long-term stable development of the wind power industry.
The analysis shows that the thermal power flexibility transformation will reach 210 million kilowatts in 2020, and the actual thermal power peaking capacity will reach 20%. Assuming that the national wind power abandonment power reduction rate will drop to 5% in 2020, the installed capacity will reach 260 million planned by the Energy Bureau. In kilowatts, the need to newly add wind power space for 4 years is 149.1 billion kWh. The thermal power flexibility has expanded and expanded the space for wind power consumption.