Due to the installation factor, Luxi Chemical raised the price of octanol by 100 yuan to 9,100 yuan / ton, bringing a gust of wind to the downstream DOP market in a stagnation situation. The local low price phenomenon has decreased, and the trial price has gradually increased. However, in demand Under the weak constraints, the increase in the price of octanol will bring limited benefits. The DOP gain is not comprehensive. At present, it has entered the gold September, then whether the DOP market can develop in the traditional peak season, Zhongyu Information will make the following analysis.
The gap between the theoretical peak season and the actual peak season is obvious, and the DOP market is still mostly staged. Under the situation of peripheral negative and insufficient domestic demand, the traditional peak season has become a synonym, and the peak season is not regular. Although it enters September, the environmental factors still affect. The terminal PVC soft products industry is limited in production and sales, and the DOP just needs normality. At present, the rise of Luxin octanol has led to a partial increase, but the fluctuations are narrow. Although there is no shortage of buying sentiment to drive the market participants to participate in market activity, but based on cautious mood and Downstream industry restrictions, duration and space will be limited.
In September, the demand for DOP industry supply increased. In August, the market ushered in a wave of gains in the mainstream manufacturers' maintenance factors, but in September, the support of goods was gradually weakened, although there were still manufacturers installed in environmental protection factors. Under the parking state, but there is also a recovery of production: Zhenjiang Liancheng production increased, Hangzhou Yutian, Ningbo Lianchang resume production, coupled with the arrival of imported goods, the domestic supply will be superimposed, subject to environmental constraints, limited terminal demand And traders are also cautious, so the industry supply and demand pattern is still more inclined.
As for the cost, phthalic anhydride continued to pull back, which greatly benefited the DOP industry. In addition, octanol also had a downward trend. The DOP industry is currently turbulent near the cost line. However, the phthalic anhydride industry is currently on the low-cost basis and is expected to have a small downside. There may be stabilization; while the octanol profit margin is also shrinking, coupled with the lead of Luxi, it is expected to be stable, so the cost still has a certain effect, but based on the DOP industry's loss space narrowed, the cost effect is also weakened.
On the whole, in early September, based on the initial supply of industry supply, and the lead in the rise of raw material octanol, there is no lack of driving down the price. However, in the terminal, it is difficult to achieve substantial improvement, and under the influence of long-term environmental protection, domestic demand is still insufficient. It is expected that there will still be some upswings in the short-term, but subject to demand, it is still staged.