'Analysis' Ministry of Commerce: Qualcomm M&A failure has nothing to do with Sino-US trade war

1. End! Qualcomm gave up the acquisition of NXP, $2 billion cancellation fee, $30 billion repurchase! 2. Qualcomm's acquisition of NXP failed the Ministry of Commerce said it has nothing to do with Sino-US trade wars 3. NXP: Received Qualcomm's termination notice 5 billion US dollars to buy back shares 4. Foreign media view: Qualcomm, giving up is also a kind of happiness 5. Qualcomm's acquisition of NXP's break is beneficial to MediaTek? 6. Intel's second quarter revenue of 17 billion US dollars, net profit increased by 78%

1. End! Qualcomm abandoned the acquisition of NXP, $2 billion cancellation fee, $30 billion repurchase!

Episodes reported on July 26 (Reporter Zhang Yiqun) After more than a year of review, Qualcomm's acquisition of NXP's transaction ultimately failed to wait for a paper approval from Chinese regulators.

This means that after 21 months, the amount of up to 44 billion US dollars, the semiconductor industry's largest merger to date has failed. Qualcomm announced this result.

Trade wars, the US side continues to increase the number of transactions leading to abortion

According to the previous agreement between Qualcomm and NXP, the deadline is 11:59 noon on July 26th, Beijing time. If the result of the approval of the Chinese regulatory authorities is not obtained before, the transaction will be terminated. Qualcomm needs 9 after that. Within the hour, pay NXP a $2 billion cancellation fee.

In October 2016, Qualcomm announced that it had acquired NXP for US$38 billion, or about US$110 per share. During February, Qualcomm raised its offer for NXP to US$127 per share, totaling RMB44 billion. Dollar.

Qualcomm's acquisition of NXP's transaction is currently the largest acquisition in the semiconductor industry. NXP is seen as an important jigsaw to build a future Qualcomm empire. If successful, the combined Qualcomm will become the world's third largest semiconductor manufacturer after Samsung and Intel. .

NXP's deep accumulation in automotive electronics, microcontrollers, sensors, RF, power supplies, etc., a wide range of product lines and intellectual property will support Qualcomm's strategic layout in the field of Internet of Things, Internet of Things, etc., while reducing its business in the smartphone business. Dependence and potential risks.

The completion of this transaction requires the permission of nine antitrust agencies around the world including China. In the past year or more, Qualcomm has been waiting for the final market area - China's approval results.

From a procedural point of view, the review period of China's anti-monopoly agencies is 6 months (180 days), but for the Qualcomm NXP transaction, according to the micro-network, since Qualcomm applied to the Chinese Ministry of Commerce in April last year, Three times to re-report the material, the merger has also become the first case in which Chinese anti-monopoly agencies have used two 180-day deadlines for review.

The transaction was once in the process of waiting for the results of the approval of Chinese regulators. Qualcomm has repeatedly expressed optimism, but the Sino-US trade war and the ZTE incident provoked by the US have cast a shadow over the results. The analysis said that China will review the transaction as a counter-product of the United States.

In the past month, foreign media reported that Chinese regulators have removed barriers at the regulatory level, but believe that the recent increase in US tariff policy on China has finally led to the abortion of this transaction.

Urgent need to return to the growth track Qualcomm's 'B plan'

For Qualcomm, it would be a shame to miss NXP, the most quality piece of 'target' in recent years. This will slow down the transition process of Qualcomm to a certain extent. But Qualcomm believes that although it failed to finalize the acquisition, In terms of technological advantages in innovation and a clear strategic plan for the future, Qualcomm's transformation will still be successful.

At the moment, Qualcomm is expanding its diversified business landscape in addition to 5G, AI and other business related to smartphone business, in mobile computing (XR, mobile PC), Internet of Things (Consumer Internet of Things, Industrial Internet of Things), automatic Active business areas such as driving are actively deployed.

In fiscal 2017, Qualcomm's revenue was $16.5 billion. Of this, $3 billion came from a business unit other than mobile, accounting for only 18% of total business. However, non-mobile business revenue grew rapidly, and 2017 data increased 25% from 2016. , a 75% increase from 2015. Qualcomm hopes that the future mobile and non-mobile businesses will each achieve half of revenue.

After the acquisition failed, Qualcomm will invest 30 billion US dollars to buy back shares to raise the stock price. After the unsuccessful acquisition of Broadcom and the acquisition of NXP, Qualcomm needs to boost the confidence of shareholders. At the same time, it does not rule out that Qualcomm will continue to look for quality in the future. The possibility of the acquisition of the target.

Qualcomm's third-quarter earnings report for the fiscal year 2018 shows that Qualcomm's third-quarter net profit was $1.2 billion, up 41% from $900 million in the same period last year; revenue was $5.6 billion, compared with $5.4 billion in the same period last year. Increase by 4%.

Among them, Qualcomm CDMA Technology Group (QCT) third-quarter revenue was $4.087 billion, up 1% from $4.052 billion in the same period last year, and up 5% from $3.897 billion in the previous quarter. Qualcomm Technology Authorized Group (QTL) third-quarter revenue was $1.465 billion, up 25% from $1.172 billion in the same period last year, and up 16% from $1.26 billion in the previous quarter.

Qualcomm needs to honor its performance commitments to shareholders. Previously, Qualcomm had said that if Broadcom's acquisition was unsuccessful, its revenue in FY 2019 would increase by 60% and its profit would increase by 100%.

At present, Qualcomm is responding to investigations by anti-monopoly agencies including South Korea and the European Union, and is also involved in litigation with Apple, an important customer. In today's earnings conference call, Qualcomm has said that this year's new iPhone products, Apple will Only Intel's baseband chip is used, which means that Qualcomm has almost lost Apple as an important customer.

In addition, Qualcomm is still implementing a $1 billion cost reduction plan. In the future, Qualcomm will still face challenges from many aspects.

During the 21-month period, both Qualcomm and NXP have affected potential business opportunities to varying degrees due to long waits, many businesses have been stagnant, and challenges from competitors. The termination of the transaction will make both sides more Focus on the expansion of future business.

Especially for Qualcomm, it needs to return to the growth track and reshape the confidence of Qualcomm.

2. Qualcomm's acquisition of NXP failed. The Ministry of Commerce said it has nothing to do with the Sino-US trade war.

Episodes of the micro-network report (text / Emil) Today's industry's most important news is that Qualcomm's acquisition of NXP (NXP) after a long wait of 21 months, and ultimately failed. Industry speculation, this may be related to the recent The Sino-US trade war was related to the ZTE incident. However, at the regular press conference of the Ministry of Commerce, when the Ministry of Commerce spokesperson was asked about related issues, it said that this was an anti-monopoly issue and had nothing to do with Sino-US trade friction.

This statement is consistent with the April speech. Gao said that Qualcomm's acquisition of NXP may be unfavorable to market competition. Qualcomm's remedy plan is difficult to solve the relevant market competition. Qualcomm also applied for withdrawal of the declaration and has re-declared. However, the outcome is still not as Qualcomm's wish. In October 2016, Qualcomm announced that it will acquire NXP, and according to the request, the M&A transaction must be approved by nine ministerial government regulators. Currently, it has been scanned by eight antitrust agencies. Clearing the barriers to approval, and China’s anti-monopoly agencies have decided to go through the 21-month period, amounting to US$44 billion. The largest M&A case in the semiconductor industry has failed. In accordance with the previous agreement between Qualcomm and NXP, Qualcomm needs to Within 9 hours of the termination of the transaction, NXP paid a $2 billion cancellation fee. The report of the micro-network reporter today is over! Qualcomm abandoned the acquisition of NXP, $2 billion cancellation fee, $30 billion repurchase It is mentioned that during the 21-month period, both Qualcomm and NXP have affected potential business opportunities to varying degrees due to long waits. Many businesses are therefore stagnant and challenged by competitors. The termination of the transaction will allow the two parties to focus more on the future expansion of their business. Especially for Qualcomm, it needs to return to the growth track and reshape the confidence of Qualcomm.

3. NXP: Received Qualcomm's termination of the acquisition notice, $5 billion repurchase of shares

Episodes reported on July 26 (Reporter Zhang Yiqun) Today, NXP released the second quarter financial report, NXP said it has received Qualcomm's notice to terminate the acquisition, Qualcomm will be in Beijing time tonight (26th) before 21:00 , paying $2 billion in cancellation fees.

NXP released its second-quarter financial report, showing second-quarter revenue of $2.29 billion, up 4% year-on-year, and up 1% from the previous quarter. Net profit attributable to NXP shareholders was $54 million, compared to the same period last year. The $49 million increased by 10.2%.

In addition, NXP also said that the board of directors has approved a $5 billion stock repurchase program.

For the failure of Qualcomm's acquisition of NXP, NXP's president and CEO Richard Kramer said that although 21 months of efforts failed to achieve the deal, it is regrettable, but NXP is still confident about the future, and will Continue to focus on business development in the automotive, security and Internet of Things sectors.

4. Foreign media view: Qualcomm, giving up is also a kind of happiness

After the nearly 20 months of negotiations and waiting, on July 26, 2018, Qualcomm plans to abandon its plan to acquire Dutch semiconductor company NXP for US$44 billion. US media said Qualcomm will this week The result is that its $44 billion acquisition of chip maker NXP Semiconductors will be one of the biggest victims of the Sino-US trade war escalation.

In the vote in the board election in March this year, Mollenkopf failed to win the support of an absolute majority of shareholders. Over the past four years, Qualcomm's share price has fallen by more than a quarter, while the PHLX semiconductor index has more than doubled. The completion of the acquisition of the NXP transaction is seen as an important step in restoring investor confidence.

Although China's State Administration of Markets still has the opportunity to make a last minute notice before 11:59 pm ET, Qualcomm now considers the possibility of the agreement to be very small.

Well-known insiders revealed that Qualcomm directors have been psychologically prepared for the transaction case. The directors still prefer to abandon the acquisition of NXP if they have not been released by China. For the M&A case has been delayed, Qualcomm investors have become bored and hope to As soon as possible, many people even think that even if the transaction is blown, it can be regarded as a bullish, because the ability of Qualcomm to integrate NXP has been questioned by the market.

Qualcomm's pursuit of NXP's story ended, and it also represented a very chaotic period of Qualcomm. Qualcomm is the world's top communications chip manufacturer, and such chips are mostly used in smartphones and other devices.

Just four months ago, the Trump administration stepped in and prevented Broadcom from investing $117 billion in a hostile takeover of Qualcomm on the grounds that Qualcomm's technology is critical to US national security. Qualcomm is the US in terms of 5G cellular technology research and development. The leading company, this technology will help a series of new products to connect to the wireless network, the White House's intervention actually portrayed Qualcomm as 'the country's heavy enterprise', playing a vital role in the 5G battle with China.

Qualcomm previously believed that the deal with Enpuzhi helped its transformation, allowing Qualcomm's business to extend beyond mobile phones into cars and smart home devices. The deal was announced 12 days before Trump's election as president. If the transaction is not aborted, Qualcomm would have increased its revenue by $9.26 billion last year and about 30,000 employees. Qualcomm's latest fiscal year sales revenue was $22.29 billion, and the number of employees was basically the same.

Qualcomm shares rose more than 5% after the close, to nearly $63, but still not as much as the $69 share of Broadcom's attempt to acquire Qualcomm in January. At the same time, Enpuzhi fell more than 3%, as it is still facing the future. Independent situation.

Isn’t it a good thing to leave the sea of ​​NXP?

Investors will breathe a sigh of relief at the end of the project – the project has suffered setbacks since 2016. Qualcomm has successfully blocked Broadcom’s $117 billion acquisition during this period, and has also been in court with Apple. It is open to the court and faces billions of dollars in fines from antitrust regulators around the world.

Scott Kennedy, a Chinese scholar at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, said that the approval of the Qualcomm and NXP Semiconductors transactions may now make China feel weak. When the overall trade relationship is facing a serious escalation risk, it is difficult to meet this single case. The US has asked. Chinese regulators may come up with some form of conditional approval, forcing Qualcomm and NXP to decide whether they want to further postpone the final result. The US Wall Street Journal reported that if Qualcomm and NXP’s transaction ended in failure, It will fully explain the serious consequences of the Sino-US trade war. So far, this influence has spread in many companies. The Trump administration has imposed tariffs on goods worth more than 34 billion US dollars in various industries in China. In addition, $16 billion worth of goods were subject to tariff review. China has also arbitrarily imposed a 25% tariff on US$34 billion in products and determined to impose additional tariffs on another $16 billion in goods.

Bloomberg said that with the termination of this transaction, the future of Qualcomm and NXP will be full of uncertainty, but for Qualcomm, the bitter sea from NXP is not a good thing. Because Qualcomm has rarely involved automotive and industrial chip fields, Moreover, NXP and Qualcomm are completely different operating modes. This transaction will bring Qualcomm more uncertainty. With the termination of the transaction, Qualcomm will be able to provide a more certain future.

At the earnings meeting, analysts asked why Continuity’s extension of the offer to regulators for more time, Qualcomm CEO Steve Mollenkopf said that Qualcomm needs to provide certainty in addition to new opportunities through mergers and acquisitions. Not only for investors and Partner certainty, also need to give our employees certainty.

He also stressed: 'We intend to terminate the acquisition of NXP after the expiration of today's acquisition offer, waiting for any new progress. According to previous plans, if the agreement is terminated, we will open up to 30 billion US dollars of stock repurchase, Create value for shareholders. '

5. Qualcomm's acquisition of NXP's break is beneficial to MediaTek?

Qualcomm announced on the 26th that it has terminated its acquisition of NXP, and the board of directors has authorized a $30 billion buy-back treasury stock plan. The industry believes that Qualcomm's acquisition of NXP's plan is frustrated and should be beneficial to MediaTek.

Under the terms of the acquisition agreement, Qualcomm will pay a $2 billion break-up fee to NXP.

Qualcomm also spoke to shareholders' confidence, saying that the future development strategy will remain unchanged. It is believed that leading technology and disciplined execution will create significant value for shareholders.

Including the Internet of Things, automotive, computing and networking will be the driving force for Qualcomm's growth. Qualcomm also pointed out that it will continue to lead in 5G and will have significant short-term and long-term opportunities.

Qualcomm announced in 2016 that it will acquire NXP for US$110 per share, with a total amount of US$47 billion, which has shaken all walks of life. Zhang Zhongmou, founder of TSMC, said at the time that both companies are very important customers of TSMC and have a good relationship. The case is optimistic.

ITRI ​​believes that Qualcomm and NXP have complementary benefits in products and markets. Qualcomm's successful acquisition of NXP will help Qualcomm to expand from mobile phone chips and mobile payment and advanced driver assistance systems to the long-term development of Qualcomm. Sub-effects.

Qualcomm's acquisition of NXP is now a failure, and the industry expects that Qualcomm's development in the automotive market will be delayed, which is beneficial to Qualcomm's rival MediaTek. However, the case is long-term, the industry believes that it is not necessarily Will have an incentive effect on MediaTek's short-term share price.

6. Intel's second quarter revenue of 17 billion US dollars, net profit increased by 78%

Sina US stock news Beijing time on July 27 morning news, Intel (52.16, -0.27, -0.52%) today announced the second quarter of the 2018 financial report. The report shows that Intel's second quarter EPS 1.04, the market expectation of 0.96 US dollars.

The company expects to adjust EPS for the whole year to USD 4.15 ± 5%, and the market expects USD 4.02. The company expects adjusted EPS of USD 1.15 ± 5% in the third quarter, and the market expects USD 1.08.

Gross profit increased by 63% in the second quarter, and the market is expected to grow by 62.3%.

Second quarter revenue of 17 billion US dollars, the market is expected to be 16.79 billion US dollars, 1.3% higher than analysts' estimate. Data center group revenue in the second quarter was 5.5 billion US dollars, an increase of 27%. Second quarter customer computing group revenue of 5.5 billion US dollars, growth 6%. The company expects annual revenue of 69.5 billion ± 1 billion US dollars, the market expects 68.4 billion US dollars. The company expects third quarter revenue of 18.1 billion ± 500 million US dollars, the market is expected to be 17.6 billion US dollars.

Since the results announcement, the stock fell 4.6% to $49.84. Sina Finance

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