Oil PP low melting copolymerization:
The above data show that the low-melting copolymer out of the trend of the reverse market in May-June, the opposite trend of drawing and copolymerization, the price showed an upward trend. In June, the market price of PP first rose and then fell. Overall, the average monthly price still increased compared with last month. The increase is 0.52%. The mainstream price of copolymerization is 10,000-10400 yuan/ton. The increase of low-melting copolymerization of oil is maintained at 100-400 yuan/ton; the increase of coal-based low-melting copolymer is maintained at 100-300 yuan/ton. The smallest increase was maintained at 100-150 yuan/ton, followed by East China, with an increase of 150-300 yuan/ton, and the increase of South China was 300-400 yuan/ton. The reason behind the rise of low-melting copolymerization is analyzed.
Maintenance concentration
In June, new maintenance devices were concentrated, namely Ningxia Baofeng, Yanshan Sanju, Fujian United Second Line, Zhonghai Shell Phase II, Liaotong Chemical, Zhongtian Hechuang (Circular Pipe), Zhonghai Shell Phase II and Zhongyou Hohhot, Yanan Refinery Factory PP equipment, in which the equipment with longer inspection time is to extend the energy, Baofeng, Liaotong Chemical, Zhonghe Hohhot PP equipment, this month, the equipment maintenance time has been postponed repeatedly with Ningbo Fude, Datang Duolun PP device, At present, the maintenance of polypropylene equipment is concentrated in the northeast, northwest, east China, and southern China, temporarily alleviating the pressure on supply and demand in the market.
Specifically, the supply of low-melting copolymer in East China is mainly based on Zhenhai Refining and Chemical, Yangzi Petrochemical, Ningxia Baofeng, Shenhua Ning Coal, and Yanhuan. In addition, the maintenance of Zhenhai Refining and Chemicals in May reduced the continuous supply of copolymerization. Acting in the PP market. Ningxia Baofeng, the extension of the energy maintenance has also affected the supply of PP in East China, and Dushanzi Petrochemical's production of K8003 is not much, which also affects the supply of PP in East China. The supply is tight and the offer is firmer.
July production company co-production:
According to the above-mentioned production enterprises, Zhenhai Refining and Yangzi Petrochemical, Maoming Petrochemical Co., Ltd. have low-melting copolymerization, and the number of days of production is relatively high. The supply of low-melting copolymer is gradually restored. The reduction in the supply of co-products has gradually decreased.
Outlook for the market outlook: The pessimistic atmosphere continued in July. From the perspective of supply, although the maintenance enterprises are still in existence, the intensity will continue to weaken and the supply side will gradually return to a stable state; however, the two oil stocks will remain below 800,000 tons, and the inventory will slowly decline. At the beginning of July, there was no large inventory pressure. From the demand side, in July, the contract was started, and the downturn in the off-season was carried out with the expectation before the opening of the peak season. However, the factory stocking is still difficult to unify, and the market procurement is difficult to release. See, the high oil price is still supported by the PP market. The ex-factory price of the two barrels of oil is cautiously adjusted, and the demand side is also difficult to become a strong support. It is expected that the PP market will be tepid in July, and the expected decline will remain, and the shock will be weak. It is expected that there will be an upward turn in the middle and late. It is expected that the market price will be hovering at 8750-9200 yuan/ton, and the market price will be hovering at 9800-10200 yuan/ton.