Unsaturated resin: Long Yi raw material greatly increased | UPR follow-up passive

The downstream consumer market of unsaturated polyester resin is mainly concentrated in the three major regions, located in East China in the Yangtze River Delta, and South China in the Pearl River Delta in Guangdong, and in the north, Shandong and Hebei are the main core regions. UPR resin is mostly in the surrounding area. Sales dominated, with a small number of factory sales radiating throughout the country. Resin factories also concentrated on these three major regions. According to Zhongyu Information, the output of East China resin accounted for 46.8%, South China 24.9%, Shandong, Hebei and Tianjin around 17.4%.

This year, the operating rate of the resin in the country has basically risen to the right place. Since mid-May, due to environmental protection and security inspections, the operating rate in some areas has been limited, which has weighed on the fundamentals of UPR. According to statistics, the current comprehensive operating rate index for resin companies is 54.5. %, East China is near 60%, South China is 5.5-60%, Shandong and Hebei, Tianjin is currently under unstable load, some companies are around 4-50%, due to local environmental protection and environmental enforcement etc. 4. The operation rate of some resin companies has been lowered, or the phenomenon of shutdown and maintenance will increase.

According to statistics, the production capacity of unsaturated resin plants around Shandong and Hebei provinces is around 850,000 tons. Since the first half of this year, the local resin companies have been affected by environmental protection production restrictions. On the other hand, the cost of resins is also increasing in the first half of the year. The price of raw materials rose from 9,600 yuan/ton at the end of March to 11,700 yuan/ton at the middle of May, increasing by 21.9%. The amount of maleic anhydride rose from 7,700 yuan/ton to mid-May. To 8,500 yuan/ton, phthalic anhydride from 6,800 yuan/ton to 7,600 yuan/ton, ethylene glycol from 6,700 yuan/ton to 7,200 yuan (high point to 8,800 yuan/ton), diethylene glycol, from 5,500 yuan/ton to 6,050 yuan/year Tonnes (high point to 6300). Raw materials are all on the line, causing pressure on resin production costs to increase sharply from April to May. Since the beginning of May, the resin market has risen moderately, and the demand for raw materials has gradually emerged. However, the support from downstream terminals Weak.

At present, the inventory of resin companies is not high, and it is in conflict with the raw materials in high positions, especially the pressure from styrene is relatively high, and the enthusiasm for production is not high. In addition to environmental protection factors, the supply of the market is tight, but compared with raw materials. The tendency of the resin to fluctuate is lagging behind. Now DC's offer is around 10,000 yuan / ton, and the price of styrene is at 1,700 yuan / ton. Plus other raw materials are also at a high level, unsaturated resin difficult to accept raw materials Continue to pull up, considering the driving of styrene raw materials, resin or space for continued growth, but observe the downstream demand situation, the reasons for the price increase is not completely sufficient, the follow-up unsaturated resin market or difficult to follow the trend of mainstream materials.

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