In recent years, driven by purely electricity-based technology, China's new energy automotive industry has developed rapidly. Not only has the scale of production and sales and the integrity of the industry chain already ranked first in the world, but it has leapt to the top echelon of the world in technology. In terms of degree, China's pure electric vehicles have more comparative advantages than hydrogen fuel cell vehicles, and are more in line with national conditions. Therefore, in the development of new energy automotive industry, we still need to maintain strong strategic patience and policy perseverance. We can't listen to the wind or rain. ', Easily give up electric cars and hastily turned to hydrogen fuel cell cars
In the past few days, the discussion on the development path of China's new energy auto industry has taken off one after another. Someone claimed that 'our new energy vehicles need to turn around' and called for 'a comprehensive shift to hydrogen fuel cell vehicles' like Japan. This is a bit one-sided.
It is an indisputable fact that Japan's hydrogen fuel cell vehicle technology is leading globally. At present, Toyota of Japan has launched the world's first mass-produced hydrogen fuel cell vehicle Mirai, and Honda's 750 km cruising range of hydrogen fuel cell car Clarity has also been sold in limited quantities. There are also dozens of hydrogen refueling stations built. Compared to this, we certainly have a slower pace in the development of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles, especially in passenger vehicles. However, we cannot deny that China has achieved the development of the new energy automobile industry. improvement.
In fact, in the global promotion and application of new energy vehicles, there are always many technical routes such as plug-in hybrid power, pure electric drive and fuel cell. Thanks to the country’s great attention and strong financial support, in recent years, the Driven by electricity-based technology, China’s new energy automotive industry has developed rapidly. Not only has the scale of production and sales and the integrity of the industry chain already ranked first in the world, but it has leapt to the world’s top echelon in technology. As a new energy vehicle, ' The core technology, power battery and drive motor technology have been in the leading position in the world, and the gap between electronic control technology and the international advanced level is continuously narrowing.
It is under the influence of the vigorous development of China's electric vehicle market that the major automakers in the world have shifted from watching and prudence in the past to accelerating the strategic investment in pure electric power. For example, the Volkswagen Group announced that it will mass-produce by 2025. 15 models of pure electric vehicles, with an annual output of no less than 1 million units; Nissan Motor Co., Ltd. announced that it will launch 20 electric vehicles to the Chinese market in the next five years; even Toyota, which has always been skeptical of pure electric vehicles, has a strong sense of crisis. The technical line was adjusted. It plans to launch 10 models of electric vehicles by 2020 and sell 5.5 million electric vehicles in 2030. It can be said that electric vehicles, which are the best carriers for intelligentization, are becoming a new trend in the global automotive industry.
Data show that from 2013 to the end of 2017, a total of 6,475 hydrogen fuel cell passenger vehicles were sold globally in five years. As the world’s best-selling vehicle, Toyota Mirai’s sales last year were only over 2,000 vehicles, most of which were rental companies and Other car companies R&D institutions have bought very few people who really face private buyers. This is a huge difference from the sales of more than 500,000 new energy vehicles in China last year. Some of them have been advocating for it from the media. It can't be understood.
It is difficult to commercialize hydrogen fuel cell vehicles. In addition to the immature core technology and poor battery durability, the main issue is the lack of effective and safe hydrogen supply, and the high cost of the industrial chain. Professionals once calculated an account. Taking the supply side as an example, only the capital required for the construction of the hydrogenation station upstream and downstream systems is 10 times that of the existing gas station system.
It should be noted that although lithium-ion batteries have been used in automobiles for only 10 years, their technological progress has been significantly accelerated. At present, the energy density of lithium battery cells in China has reached 230 watt-hours/kg, and the system energy density exceeds 150 watts. H / kg, once completed the Ministry of Industry and Technology proposed 'half the battery price, double the energy density' plan, the cost-effectiveness of electric vehicles will be greatly improved.
Therefore, in the development of the new energy automotive industry, we need to maintain strong strategic patience and policy perseverance. We must adhere to plug-in hybrid, pure electricity, and fuel cell and other multiple technological routes. We must not be self-conscious or self-indulgent. 'Listening to the wind is the rain'. Easily give up the electric car and rush to the hydrogen fuel cell car.
