The trade war has opened up and the market has been arguing whether LDPE will usher in a historic turnaround. According to the data from the past three years, the analysis is based on domestic production, annual total production, monthly imports, and total annual imports. LDPE The monthly average domestic production is 16-22 million tons, and the average annual output is about 2.2 million tons. The monthly average amount of imported LDPE in the United States is between 0.94 and 0.229 million tons, and the average annual import volume is about 138,100 tons. This is a huge market for China. In terms of demand, monthly LDPE product supply from the United States is only more than 10,000 tons, and it is difficult to set off in the market.
Although the rapid expansion of ethane in the United States and the continued influx of polyethylene products into the Chinese market, from the perspective of supply ratio analysis, Iran in the Middle East ranks first, with imports amounting to 604,800 tons, closely followed by Qatar, 240,700 tons. Saudi Arabia 22.39 Third, Korea, UAE, and the United States imported only 149,900 tons in 2017, which accounted for 6.51% of the total imports. Although the cost advantage is obvious, the quantity is small and quality is not irreplaceable, but it is difficult to grasp Market demand points, import tariffs are imposed, and it is nothing but a trade war. It is very easy to replace it.
The so-called effect of the Sino-U.S. trade war is that 'singling out of one's head and acting as one's head and pulling one's hair out of one's hair is the reason for the change'. The length of the trade war is attributed to the sincere and friendly negotiations between China and the United States, irrespective of any product involved. In the hope that the market is in a long drought and rain, it is understandable that the market will rely on changes in the supply and demand. Any change in the product will be caused by a change from a favorable bearish factor. It will bring unexpected incidents. The reflection should be based on a rational and objective analysis of the business, to avoid risks and be cautiously optimistic.