Emerging market 2G feature phones surge, saturated market waiting for 5G arrival

According to the micro-network news, Strategy Analytics’ latest research report “Global mobile phone sales forecast is divided into 88 countries and 19 technical divisions: 2003-2023” pointed out that although the first batch of 5G commercial mobile phones will be sold in early 2019, the sales volume is large. The scale will increase until 2021. By that time, 5G smart phone shipments will account for nearly 5% of global handset sales. Ville-Petteri Ukonaho, Senior Analyst of Strategy Analytics, said: '5G smart phones will be available in China, Japan, Korea and Korea in 2019. The United States starts selling. However, sales in 2019 will be only millions, and by 2020 it will be only tens of millions. 'In the first few years, sales of 5G mobile phones will be very limited, due to the large number of 5G networks. , Mobile phone manufacturers only introduced a small number of 5G phone models, as well as the high price of 5G mobile phones, while lacking attractive use cases.

Ken Hyers, Director of Strategy Analytics, stated that 'by 2021, 5G networks in major Asian and North American countries will cover many city centres, which will give consumers reasons to purchase 5G smart phones. Nearly 5% of handsets sold in 2021 It is a 5G smart phone. By 2023, as the price of 5G smart phones continues to fall, and as the next-generation wireless networks are built in most parts of developed countries, the sales of 5G mobile phones will reach several hundred million.

Phil Kendall, Director of Carrier Strategy, Strategy Analytics Services, stated: 'Our global cellular subscriber forecast report found that under normal circumstances, by 2023, the economies of scale of terminals brought about by China's early involvement in network deployment will drive 5G subscriber growth. To nearly 600 million. '

David Kerr, Senior Vice President of Strategy Analytics, said, “At the same time, some old generation wireless technologies will continue to thrive: The life cycle of 2G and 4G handsets will be very long. Even if 3G devices disappear, both handsets will Continue to the next decade. 'The latest report from Strategy Analytics concludes that even with the rapid increase in sales of 5G smartphones in 2023, emerging markets, especially in Africa, users who first purchase mobile phones will continue to occupy 2G feature phone sales. Nearly one-tenth of overall mobile phone sales in that year. The report emphasized that 4G LTE, the globally dominant mobile phone technology, will continue to be the mainstay of the mobile phone market in 2023 and beyond. The sales of 4G mobile phones will continue to grow, and will It will account for four-fifths of all handset shipments by 2020. In the next decade, 4G LTE will become the most mainstream mobile technology.

In its latest report, Strategy Analytics found that despite the recent slowdown in global mobile phone sales growth, there are still many opportunities for mobile network operators and handset manufacturers. Emerging markets still have hundreds of millions of potential consumers buying mobile phones for the first time, especially in Africa. And parts of Asia. These consumers are looking for reliable and affordable communication means, which makes feature phones particularly popular in this segment. Meanwhile, in China, most of Europe, Japan, Korea and the United States and other mature developed Market, Sales stagnation, and mobile phone replacement cycle extended. 5G is still a few years for most potential customers, but as consumers discover new use cases driven by ultra-fast data rates and ultra-low latency, 5G will activate intelligence. Sales of mobile phones.

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