Forged ahead, 2018 and then set off!
On January 9, 2018, Ning Xuegui, deputy secretary general of China Agricultural Machinery Industry Association, analyzed the operation of China's agricultural machinery industry in 2017 at the '2017 National Agricultural Machinery Industry Conference and the Sixth Council Meeting of China National Agricultural Machinery Industry Association' , And forecast the development trend in 2018.
The main business of slow growth, business difficult to profit management
According to statistics, from January to November 2017, the main business income of agricultural machinery enterprises above designated size in China reached 398.891 billion yuan, an increase of 6.79% over 2016. In the whole machinery industry, the growth rate dropped from 'Outstandings' to the bottom. Profit realized 22.31 billion yuan, an increase of 8.52% over the previous year.
Agricultural machinery exports totaled 27.219 billion yuan, an increase of 7.7% over the same period of last year; total fixed asset investment was 95.4 billion yuan, down 9.31% from the same period of previous year; and 1144 projects were put into operation, an increase of 13.94% over the same period of last year.
Ning Xuegui believes that the development of China's agricultural machinery industry has grown from the pursuit of rapid growth, the gradual transition to the pursuit of high-quality development, the industry has entered a period of profound restructuring and transformation.In the process of transformation and upgrading, it will inevitably encounter difficulties in development, corporate cost pressures increase , But the industry as a whole is still in a stable operation stage with a slow growth rate.
On the other hand, corporate operating costs continued to rise, further squeezing profit margins.
First, rising manufacturing costs, the impact of higher prices of raw materials such as steel rising, as well as human costs, marketing costs increase; Second, the relevant state departments of ultra-wide high governance, resulting in large-scale agricultural transport costs increased by more than 40% Third, environmental protection limited production, some casting companies shut down, resulting in a shortage of castings, the price rise; Fourth, the country Ⅲ emission upgrades, making wheat machine costs even increased by 10% or more.
Main products are uneven, structural adjustment effect is remarkable
In 2017, the market for various major products in the agricultural machinery industry was uneven. Some products suffered a serious decline and some products faced adverse market growth. However, overall industrial structure and product structure adjustment achieved remarkable results.
1. Tractors continue to decline, the trend of large-scale obvious
According to the National Bureau of Statistics of China, from January to November 2017, 376,000 large and medium-sized trailers were manufactured by large-scale enterprises in China, of which 45,963 were large-scale tractors, down 23.05% over the same period of last year; and 329,847 medium-sized tractors, representing a year-on-year decrease of 9.60%. Small tractors 1021643 Taiwan, down 10.97%.
Due to different statistical standards, according to the data from China Agricultural Machinery Industry Association, China's key enterprises produced 21,1476 large and medium-sized trailers, down 24.92% over the same period of last year; produced 160,958 small four-wheeled tractors, representing a year-on-year decrease of 19.27% 100,738 units, down 29.16%, the demand for the transfer of regionalization.
From the product structure analysis, the trend of large-scale production is obvious. The output of products with the output of 102.9 ~ 110.3kW (140 ~ 150hp) increased by 12.71% over the same period of previous year; products with output of 110.3-117.6kW (150 ~ 160hp) increased by 643.98%; 117.6 ~ 132.3kW 180hp) products, an increase of 210.43%.
On the other hand, large and medium-sized exporters continued to improve their export performance. Other products with 73.5kW (100hp) or more output showed a slight increase of 0.81% in exports except for 88.2-95.6kW (120-130 hp).
2, wheeled grain machine steady development, new product contribution outstanding
According to the statistics of China Agricultural Machinery Industry Association, from January to November 2017, the output of self-propelled wheeled grain harvesters in the industry reached 32,600 units, down 19.87% from the same period of last year. The most prominent feature is the increase of output of new products with significant contribution rate.
Feeding amount and structure analysis showed that there was almost no production and sales volume of products below 5kg / s, which had basically withdraw from the market; 5 ~ 6kg / s products developed towards light weight and high power with a year-on-year increase of 315.63%.
The output of horizontal axial flow structure was basically the same between 7kg / s and 8kg / s. However, the vertical axis flow and the structure of straw maker dominated. The output increased 458.69% compared with that of the same period of last year. The output of large scale products above 8kg / s increased 487.46%.
China's wheat acreage is about 0.211 billion hm2 (317 million mu), and the machine yield reaches 95%. The wheeled grain harvester industry has also entered a mature stage with excellent product quality; the amount of wheat is increased and the harvesting efficiency is improved; and the market preservation High rate of work area decreased by 15%, cross-regional reduction.
3, a sharp decline in corn harvesters, niche adverse economic growth
The production and sales of corn harvesting machines dropped sharply, with the backbone enterprises in the industry producing 18,100 self-propelled corn harvesters, down 48.56% from the same period of last year; the sales of corn machine nationwide reached 36,500%, down 36.56% from the same period of last year;
Maize harvester production and sales fell sharply, on the one hand by the country Ⅲ emission upgrade greater impact on digestion Ⅱ inventory products, on the other hand affected by the reduction of corn acreage.
However, some corn machine enterprises have seen adverse economic growth with their main incomes increasing by more than 30%, mainly on the basis of differentiated routes such as the development and production of minicomputers that are suitable for special plots in the hilly and mountainous areas, etc. In addition, Direct grain speed increase, it is another structural adjustment of corn products trend.
4, crawler production and sales fell, industrial concentration increased further
The production and sales of crawler rice harvesters dropped, with 75766 sets of key enterprises, down 21.93% year-on-year. The products further developed towards large-scale development with 5 ~ 6kg / s feeding models with output of 56388 sets, an increase of 35.60% Machine 74.4% of the total output.
Crawler machine industry to further improve the concentration of production and sales of 10,000 units in the level of enterprises including Lovol, Wodong machine, Kubota and Zoomlion machines, these companies accounted for 85.89% of the total output of the industry, to further improve the concentration This is the second product after the wheat harvester has rapidly increased its industrial concentration.
5. Dryers production and marketing rapid growth
China's circulating dryer output of about 26000 units, of which the main focus on the handling capacity of 10 ~ 20t / h products.While the largest increase in sales of rice production areas, such as Jiangsu, Anhui and Hunan and other places; North Agricultural Machinery large There is huge room for growth in the province; in the Central Plains corn production area, the drying bottleneck is solved on behalf of purchasing and storage.
6, sugar cane machinery industrialization accelerated
In 2017, the rapid development of sugar cane machinery, the state and local governments have introduced a number of policies and measures to support the mechanization of sugarcane production throughout the process.According to statistics, mechanized planting rate of sugar cane production areas reached 45%, machine yield reached 8%, cane farmers to buy machinery and equipment High enthusiasm.
From the analysis of manufacturing enterprises, domestic enterprises to become dominant, but foreign-funded enterprises have also layout sugar cane machinery market, a new round of competition is inevitable.
7, other key products
His key products were up and down, such as the output of balers fell 13.34%; transplanter output 69,178 units, an increase of 22.96%; silage harvesting machine output 3800 units, an increase of 14.17%.
8, the breakdown of the industry significantly
In China's agricultural machinery industry in 12 sub-sectors, the main business income gap was significant.
Agricultural staple food processing machinery business steady growth in revenue, including grain dryer high-speed growth. Mechanized agricultural and horticultural machinery increased 2.59%, of which grain harvesting machinery down 10.16%; farmland infrastructure machinery, gardening, lawn-specific machinery Great growth; tillage machinery, planting, plant protection machinery steady development; planting or fertilizing machinery is weak.
Fishery machinery increased by 81.68%, of which aquaculture equipment increased by 19.50%. Parts and components increased by 5.82%, mainly due to the globalization of foreign-funded enterprises; increased self-reliance capacity and substitution of imports; and rapid growth of new industries and new products.
9, to enhance the core competitiveness of remarkable results
The improvement of core competitiveness of China's agricultural machinery industry is remarkable in 2017. The most important thing is that the pace of industrial upgrading is accelerating, mainly reflected in the significant upgrade of major equipment technologies, the improvement of product reliability, the precision agricultural technology and equipment, and the significant adjustment of product mix.
Specifically reflected in the significant effect of emissions upgrades, the country Ⅲ products have been recognized by the market, some companies began to develop the country Ⅳ emission product research and development reserves; testing and testing capabilities increased significantly, the enterprise online testing and monitoring techniques, means to upgrade and improve the test capabilities; Plate, the strength of the project, the rapid development of harvesting machinery in hilly areas, cotton picker, millet machinery and other economic crop machinery to speed up development.
Breakthroughs in core components and technologies, such as power steering, power shift, the application of HMT gearboxes, successful development of bionic milk millers; agricultural navigation technology, the National Ⅲ intelligent control system Applications; Group standards lead the upgrade.
Opportunities and challenges accompanied by health, innovation and upgrading lead the transition
Ning Xuegui believes that although the development of China's agricultural machinery industry has encountered many difficulties in 2017, the market impact will be temporary and periodic. The policy-related influence will cause the industrial structure to be further adjusted and upgraded, and the opportunities and challenges will go hand in hand.
Judging from the strategy of comprehensive mechanization in agricultural production, the slowdown in the growth of agricultural machinery industry is temporary. Since agricultural modernization and national food security are highly dependent on agricultural machinery, the rate of crop mechanization will exceed the 70% target by 2020; insufficient supply remains The main contradiction of China's agricultural machinery industry; unique agronomic and production methods, it is decided that the domestic agricultural machinery is the protagonist.
In 2018, the agricultural machinery industry is still facing a good opportunity for development. The policy environment will continue to be better and the subsidy policy for purchase of agricultural machinery will be improved and strengthened. The implementation of the "Action Plan for the Development of Agricultural Machinery and Equipment (2016-2015)" will be implemented. "The key to modern agricultural machinery Technology industrialization implementation plan "promulgated and implemented, will promote the sustainable development of agricultural machinery industry.