Into the 2017 heating season, living in the northern '2 +26' city circle residents feel intuitively is the haze reduced, 'Tianqing Qiqing' days back; but at the same time, there are Hebei users Tucao Road: bath before $ 8 , Rub a bath 8 yuan; now take a shower 15 yuan, rub a bath 8 yuan, a bath an increase of 7 yuan cost.Good weather and bathing costs, reflecting the 'coal to change' the project 'double-edged' effect, and on the 'blade' Tug of War opportunity costs on both sides are also fierce battle.
'The Bucket Effect' tells us that the shortcomings of things determine the key success or failure to fill shortcomings. 'This time, the state's determination to promote' coal reform 'project is huge, but previous experience has also informed us that coal reform 'Success or failure depends on a set of sound and long-term mechanisms, otherwise coal-fired will have the possibility of' resurgence. 'Taking Beijing as an example, a number of coal-to-electricity projects were pushed forward around 2008, Subsidy and high coal prices under the joint action, the implementation of a period of time.But with the fall of coal prices, especially the disappearance of government subsidies, many counties have returned to the state of heating coal stove. 'A responsible person from the boiler sales line People tell us, 'At present, the implementation cycle of government subsidies is generally three years. And what we do not want to see is that after the easing of policies or exit, small traders reclaim the boiler or electric heating equipment along the streets, The sustainability of the future is a tough battle.
Gas shortage, heating costs, equipment operation, after-sales service, government finances, infrastructure is complete or not, regional differences in consumption, all these are the proposition of 'coal to change' work can not be separated.
Heating costs need to cross a hurdle
According to the relevant enterprises, in the ongoing tracking of coal to clean energy projects, farmers are most concerned about two issues users, one heating costs, the second is after-sales service.
Discarding the price of the market after all is a false proposition, even under the administrative intervention, it is only part of the price into rent-seeking space.
Yang Jie, general manager of Industry Online, believes that some of the fundamental constraints behind the coal reform policy will not be able to improve in the short term, such as our energy structure. For a long time, coal has taken the major position in China's energy supply, In addition, due to the "coal to change" project involves many rural areas, infrastructure construction is not complete, in considering the beginning of equipment investment, we must also consider the entire foundation Facilities construction, and the service that can be provided in the future.At the same time, due to the different financial status of local governments, the amount of user subsidy is not the same, but the development of regional economy in our country is unbalanced and residents' ability to pay is also different. These are our national conditions, It is best to choose a clean energy improvement path that suits your needs, depending on the actual situation in each province or city, or end-user dissatisfaction and problems that can not be achieved in some areas will continue to occur.
In the conversation with the successful enterprise of "coal to gas" equipment, the reporter learned that, under the normal state of no subsidy, the company estimates that the natural gas heating price is more than double that of bulk coal heating; while some netizens predict that the demand will be boosted In the case of rising natural gas prices, the price of natural gas is three to four times that of coal-fired heating. "The actual conditions in various places are not quite the same. Since there are certain subsidies for coal reform in various places at present, some areas operate with gas and fuel Coal costs about the same; some feel cheaper gas, such as Bazhou area; of course, there are some areas that gas costs higher.
According to the estimation of netizens who have installed boilers in the home and have overwintering experience, in view of mostly rural cottages or 'small second floor', large building spacing and high heat consumption, taking 150 square meters as an example, indoor maintenance of 25 ° C requires daily gas About 30 cubic meters.
Reporters access to some areas of 'coal reform' subsidy standards to Baoding Xu Shui, for example, subsidies for the implementation of standards: rural and urban village users receive natural gas interface fees were 3500 and 3200 yuan, respectively, by the government full subsidies; gas Equipment subsidy per household does not exceed 3200 yuan; heating period with gas consumption of more than 500 cubic meters, give 1 yuan / cubic meter gas price subsidies, the maximum subsidy does not exceed 1200 cubic meters; subsidies tentatively for three years.
The subsidy standards in Tangshan is more complicated, generally by the government and gas companies to undertake pipe network reconstruction and construction costs; by the provincial, municipal and district gas equipment purchase and installation of 70% of investment subsidies, the maximum subsidy per household does not exceed 2700 yuan; the district finance assume three years gas price subsidy, of which the city bungalow per household subsidies 1,200 yuan, one-time payment, the user voluntarily receive, at the same time according to the user whether to receive one-off subsidies to implement gas price difference; and rural users enjoy heating 1 Yuan / cubic meters of gas price subsidies, the maximum subsidy gas volume of 1,200 cubic meters; subsidies tentatively scheduled for three years.
Anci District, Langfang City, the transformation of the pipe network also borne by the government, while the equipment procurement 3100 yuan subsidy per household, and for the completion of transformation before August 31, 2017 and through the acceptance of the user a one-time award of 500 yuan; connected to natural gas According to 2000 yuan per year standard subsidy; the same time, the provisions of the region must be used in the user boiler brand, 'other ways to purchase the boiler, can not enjoy the government subsidies'; subsidies tentatively set for three years.
A chief executive of a successful coal-to-gas company said: 'After three years, whether government subsidies will last and everyone is' drumming.' "At the same time, he believes that this year's" gas shortage "stems from the" coal reform " In the meantime, there is not enough gas supply in the region, which leads to the country's underestimation of gas consumption. "It is generally agreed in our industry that there will be no problem with gas supply next year. In fact, the state continues to promote the 'coal reform' project from 2014 onwards, mainly in Beijing Pilot .This process has been a small step forward, with 227,000 pilot users as of 2016. But in 2017, with the full-scale opening of "coal reform" in the six northern provinces, the target of 3 million households is set to let everyone At present, some sources said that the state is considering allocating 250 million U.S. dollars to build a dedicated coal-to-gas pipeline, and we are even more worried about whether subsidies will continue after 2020 and whether consumers accept that Of course, clean energy is the trend of the times, and the best expectation is that natural gas will become an important energy supply to the country after three years, prices will drop steadily and people are willing to burn and burn.
Raising the threshold of winning the bid to build a sustainable ecology of 'coal reform'
'Never had thought before the fireplace to sell to the countryside; now, instead, the first to use the boiler in rural areas, urban and rural areas' upside down' up! 'Said a sales manager of boiler,' because the time is too tight, expansion Too late, we put away a lot of orders, but even then, is still working overtime. By mid-October, even to the development of customers blocked our factory pull cargo, a batch of products down the production line go a batch, simply no storage; But also to block parts suppliers grab the goods. 'In addition to heating equipment supply, many areas of the gas pipeline is also' emergency construction '.
Industry online data show that in 2016 China's total sales of gas boiler was 1.6 million units; and 2017, the net growth of boiler 2.5 million units, total sales of about 4.27 million units. Yang Jie believes that 'in the policy to accelerate the process Industry resources may not necessarily match.
The boiler can be heated while providing hot water, which has obvious advantages in terms of comfort and energy conservation and environmental protection, which is a market-oriented product with the demand for heating in the south, and is initially positioned as a comfort appeal for the middle class. Currently, northern coal Change 'project is based on ordinary, just needs heating needs, mainly to project.
'Policy for the boiler industry has an inclusive effect, it is beyond doubt that it has a different impact on the brand.' Yang Jie pointed out that 'domestic-funded enterprises is the main force' successful coal reform 'active in the second and third line and the township Market, the main project market, the price advantage prominent foreign brand technology is more mature, the price is relatively high, more in place on product upgrades. The problem is that in the past year, a large number of small businesses into the market, more than 40 new brands They lacked awe of technology, but came out impressively on the winning list.
A well-known boiler brands introduced: 'At present, our fireplace boilers a success rate of more than 90%, while the industry average of 60%. Ignition success or failure, mainly depends on the product's factory quality. In theory, the boiler The first ignition is to be successful. "As Yang mentioned, lack of awe of technology, resulting in a number of successful products in the process of installation and commissioning, there batch problem can not be solved.
The head of a domestic brand called for the government to focus on controlling the qualification of enterprises in the bidding process and should not only listen to the verbal talk but go to the actual production line to see it. Now, some brands' successful products are still within the warranty period To put it plainly, some enterprises do things with the idea of 'making a run at a stroke', the quality control links are omitted and the after - sales service can not be found.
'Also, some' coal to change 'region to implement a specific section corresponding to a specific brand, a block of users can only be selected in the selected brands, or they will not get subsidies. Some manufacturers can do a 3500 yuan Wall-hung boiler products, send a stove, send two sets of radiators, and package installation. For the normal business, in fact, the cost is not enough, if they can make money, that product quality can be imagined. These unreasonable standards, the result is to refuse the regular manufacturers outside the door, only welcomed the irresponsible brand-name companies.
In the completion of the 'indicators' at the same time, the benefits of the account must also be placed on the table calculate the sum!
A blue sky and heating can not be less
Whether it is to eliminate smog or to change coal to heating, it is an important livelihood issue, and the two should be harmoniously unified.
'In the past, the coal-burning stoves used to clean the slag every day, and sometimes the briquettes had a taste and the whole house was smoky.' Every night, 'sealing the fire' is a technical activity that neither expels it nor overcame it. Is that there is a danger of gas poisoning. "One media friend who enjoyed the 'sweetness' of the project" Change Gas to Coal "talked about his personal experience. After the coal was changed to gas, the home was first cleaned up. At the same time, It is very convenient to switch the machine or to adjust the temperature without worrying about the danger.Nowadays, under the state's efforts to carry out the 'coal reform' project, it is certainly in the long-term interest of everyone, only the government is also 'feeling the stones across the river' Trial and error costs.
Industry online estimates, and by the end of 'coal reform' work ended in 2020, the gas heating equipment market or will scale up to 10 million units,
On the basis of summarizing the experience of coal reform, Wang Qi, director of the gas heating professional committee of China Chamber of Civil Engineers gas branch, put forward some suggestions to government departments and enterprises participating in coal reform projects.
He believes that for the government departments, we must seek truth from facts, according to the actual situation in the region to develop a transformation program, 'gas should be gas', 'electricity should be', 'should not be changed'; according to the domestic gas heating equipment industry capacity , The speed of construction of gas facilities and the ability of gas supply to make reasonable plans and arrangements; a balanced work plan should be deployed throughout the year so as to avoid various tasks caused by resource intensiveness and waste; do not blindly raise indicators, resulting in counterproductive results; Learn from, but do not climb; try to ensure the continuity of policies, improve engineering subsidies, gas subsidies and stable gas supply.
For enterprises involved in 'coal reform', according to the actual situation, to provide management departments with the correct information, do not mislead them; enterprises try to meet the surge in market demand, we must strictly control the quality or otherwise the industry will not get Sustainable development; as soon as possible to train the number and quality of installation and after-sales personnel; in view of the overheating in 2017, some companies may blindly expand production capacity, resulting in overcapacity, or poor production capacity increase in the future, companies calm down and rationally treat the market; Respond to market changes, do a good job in the "coal era" after the advance plan.
'Coal to change' project is an opportunity, a challenge, it is the livelihood of the people.