Since the Ministry of Industry and Information released the "Study on the Schedule of China's Stopped Production and Sale of Traditional Fuel Vehicles" in September, the debate over whether the ban should be banned is wide ranging. Various media, experts and scholars have discussed the topic in various ways On the whole, the voice of opposition was greater than the voice of support, but even so it failed to stop the pace of car prices and the car makers such as Changan Automobile and Beiqi Automobile released the schedule of the banned fuel trucks. Going, new energy vehicles have become a new investment hotspot.According to statistics, at present the new energy vehicles in the country planning and site production capacity has more than 20 million vehicles, although less than the traditional fuel truck capacity, but the scale of rapid growth, so that the industry is shocked Ministry of Industry and Information Technology said it will carry out supervision and production capacity of new energy vehicles investment project investigation and analysis to promote the healthy and orderly development of the industry.
'A lot of production capacity, including how much is redundant construction, how many are low-end capacity, are unknown.' Shanghai Jiaotong University Institute of Automotive Engineering, vice president of new energy automotive industry, senior research expert Yin Chengliang said, 'but to be sure Yes, there is bound to be a lot of resources are occupied and wasted. 'Insiders also pointed out that in the' double integral 'policy to stimulate the emergence of China's new energy automotive industry signs of overcapacity, which in the development of traditional cars The process of the emergence of the policy of waste, it should promptly and effectively avoid.
The rise of the ban on the sale of fuel trucks
More and more car prices will be banned fuel-car program made public in. December 9, at the Beijing New Energy Vehicle Technology Innovation Center inauguration ceremony, BAIC chairman Xu He Yi said that in addition to special vehicles, special vehicles, the year 2020 Beiqi will take the lead in Beijing to completely stop the sale of its own brand of traditional fuel passenger cars by 2025 in China to completely stop production and sale of its own brand of traditional fuel passenger cars.
Not long ago, Changan Automobile announced the new energy vehicle strategy - Shangri-La plans to build three special platforms for new energy vehicles by 2020, fully stop selling traditional fuel vehicles by 2025 and invest 100 billion yuan in the entire new energy vehicle sector. By then, Changan will launch 21 new pure electric vehicles and 12 plug-in hybrid vehicles.
In fact, not only Beiqi and Changan, Volkswagen, Volvo and many other car prices have introduced their own strategic plan for the deployment of electrification:
Volkswagen plans to launch more than 80 new electric models by its brands in 2025, including 50 pure electric vehicles and 30 plug-in hybrid vehicles. In 2030, 300 brands of the Group will cover more than 300 models of the global market Launched at least one electric version;
BMW plans to launch 25 electric models by 2025, of which 12 are pure electric vehicles and 13 are plug-in hybrid vehicles.It is reported that to achieve this plan, BMW plans from the annual transmission and other components A 5% reduction in purchases and funding for its shift to electrification, which is expected to amount to 2 billion euros (about 15.536 billion yuan);
General Motors proposed that at least 10 models of new energy vehicles will be launched by 2020. In almost all models owned by Buick, Chevrolet and Cadillac in 2025, some degree of electrification will be equipped.
Volvo will plan to popularize electrification of all the models in 2019 to gradually replace the currently used internal combustion engines and plan to sell 1 million new energy vehicles in 2025.
Although these enterprises have not introduced a schedule for the banned or banned sale of fuel trucks, it is not hard to see from the relevant planning that in the face of China's "double integration" policy and the frequently banned and banned fuel trucks, the cross-border Car prices have begun to increase investment in electric vehicles, perhaps in the future, we will see a car company launched its own lock-up schedule.
Traditional fuel trucks will be wood?
'Changan 2025 stop selling the traditional sense of the fuel car is not to give up high-efficiency internal combustion engine, the new impetus for the future is the combination of high-efficiency internal combustion engine + energy recovery with a combination of the new power of this point do not be misunderstood.' Shangri-La soon after the release of Changan Motor CEO Zhu Huarong stated in a forum that Changan Automobile did not completely abandon the internal combustion engine.
Huang Yonghe, a senior expert of China Automotive Technology Research Center, said that in many foreign and many Chinese technical standards, electric vehicles include four types of products: the first category is general hybrid and the other three categories are the new energy vehicles defined by China - Pure electric, plug-in hybrid and fuel cell vehicles. "There is still a very strong vitality of internal combustion engines, and we still have to pay attention to and develop internal combustion engine technologies." Huang Yonghe pointed out that in 2015 the IEA had predicted that in 2020 purely internal combustion engine vehicles Sales will peak, after 2040, equipped with internal combustion engine car sales will begin to gradually reduce.
In addition, Huang Yonghe said that according to the roadmap of energy-saving and new energy vehicles released last year, energy-saving vehicles are listed as one of the important sections. The general idea is to focus on hybrids, upgrade powertrains, and support advanced electronic appliances , And comprehensively enhance the energy-saving technologies and fuel economy of traditional fuel vehicles.In terms of technical objectives, the thermal efficiency of gasoline-powered passenger vehicles with energy-saving passenger cars will increase to 40% by 2020 and 44% by 2025 and by 2030 to thermal 48%. In addition, the application of alternative fuels, mainly natural gas fuels, will increase the sales volume to 8% by 2030. Therefore, even if the national level prohibits the ban on the sale of conventional fuel trucks, this is not the case Previously passed, the internal combustion engine into the cold palace.
To solve this problem, Fu Yuwu, who has been awarded the Lifetime Achievement Award by China Society of Automotive Engineers, told the China Automotive News reporter: 'We say transformation and upgrading, transformation is to go to the smart network and new energy vehicles, the upgrade mainly refers to the traditional Technology, traditional cars to clean and efficient internal combustion engine and electronic technology-based, in this regard we have to persevere.
'Two legs' walk more stable
Although new energy vehicles is the future direction of the development of the automotive industry, but Huang Yonghe stressed that it is not recommended to ban the sale of conventional fuel vehicles schedule to previously announced energy-saving and new energy vehicle technology roadmap as a benchmark, the proportion of pre-sentenceed models have been Very scientific.Fu Yuwu added that the government should do more is to promote the development of standards, as well as the development of sustainable, forward-looking policies for the development of new energy vehicles.
In the course of a press interview, some experts also hold a supportive attitude toward the state's study on the timetable for stopping production and sales of traditional fuel trucks. The reason is that this will reduce the state's dependence on imported oil and will help enhance the competitiveness of China's automobile enterprises in new energy vehicle technologies In this view, a senior car prices to give such a reply: 'Now in SanDisk technology, we still have a certain gap compared with the Western countries, only It can be said that there is an absolute advantage in terms of cost performance, but it may be too early to extend the concept of overtaking to corners.
'The transformation of new energy vehicles need to be cautious, rational and rational judgments, to follow the laws of the market, fear of science, respect for the market.' Fu Yuwu told reporters that if there is no industrial base blindly launched new energy vehicles, it will result in social resources Great waste.
'The promotion of new energy vehicles is mainly driven by the market.' 'In the words of Yu Ning, a senior consultant for Zhejiang Geely Holding Group, he pointed out that the current low-growth basis of new energy vehicles is mainly determined by market demand.
Market demand constraints do not represent the development of new energy vehicles, Yu Ning added that in response to the challenges of the future development of new energy vehicles, Geely Automobile has been well prepared.In Geely Automobile previously released 'Blue Geely Operations' "Geely's NEV sales will account for 90% of the total sales by 2020, with plug-in hybrid and hybrid models accounting for 65% of new energy vehicles and pure electric vehicles accounting for 35%." Out, both in energy-saving cars or new energy vehicles, Geely Automobile has made adequate preparations at this point, the main attack on the market of new energy vehicles BYD is also true, BYD official said, 'fuel trucks + new energy' The two move forward simultaneously, will have more market opportunities.