IDC Published 2018 Top Ten Forecast | Global GDP will come mainly from digital

With rapid market changes and highly competitive pressures, digital transformation has become the focus of corporate growth, and pushing toward Digital Native Enterprise is an important direction for future business growth. Digital natives are several times more advanced than traditional businesses Speed-expanding business and innovative companies that are customer-centric and are constantly looking for innovation, digital technology and data are the keys to growth and driving the business to operate efficiently, tap new revenue streams and create customer loyalty Degree, to further achieve the purpose of digital transformation.Jiang Fang Yun, IDC Taiwan Research Director, said: "The next five years we will see the digital transformation into a new phase, digital native enterprises will be an important goal of enterprise development. The key to future market competition Whether the company has the ability to create new business models and digital native enterprises will perform better on this key capability. "It is estimated that in 2018 the Taiwan market will be affected by ten major trends:

I. The major contribution of global GDP and Taiwan's GDP in 2021 will come from "digitization"

Digital transformation and application of science and technology have become an important foundation for the digitalization of enterprise competition and organizational development. More and more enterprises are adopting digital emerging technologies to actively develop towards Digital Native, making digitalization a huge economic system. IDC expects By 2021, 50% of global GDP and 60% of Asia-Pacific's contribution will come from digitization, including digital products, services, technology, operations and relations .... It is estimated that by 2021 Taiwan will have over 55% GDP contribution comes from digital service products and technologies, and in order to establish stronger competitiveness in the digital economy in the future, digital transformation of enterprises is an inevitable development direction and "the ability to create new business models" will be the key to competition in the future. IDC Forecast By 2019, 45% of all organizational revenue for digital transformation will come from the "business of the future of commerce" model, which includes data monetization, sharing economy, risk-award sharing, outcome based, and platform-base d revenue model.

Two. Digital technology push up the formation of digital intelligence platform

As competition intensifies, companies are beginning to increase operational efficiencies and monetization with new digital technologies that include sensor fusion, 3D image recognition, Robotics and AI.IDC's survey found that artificial intelligence (AI), Robotics and IoT In the Asia-Pacific market, the highest proportion of applications, together with the new business and management mode driven.In order to solve the plight of enterprise development and meet customer needs, with the development of technology applications, enterprises began to establish a front-to-back integrated management of digital intelligent platform, no one Business model has emerged .. Global unmanned business has been a prototype, the Taiwan market toward an intelligent era of unmanned business is about to start (early stage), IDC forecast in 2018 Taiwan market, retail, manufacturing, and financial Industry and other related applications will be the first to promote the current Taiwanese enterprises in the smart platform and unmanned applications are mostly detection (detection), data collection (collection) and platform management (Mitigation) based, is expected to gradually toward the future response (Response) And forecast (Prediction) direction, to complete the five-phase technology structure, and passive from the initiative is expected to not only expand the scope of AI applications in Taiwan, will To promote a more complete industry intelligent business model.

III. Cloud at the Edge will speed up the implementation of cloud-based technologies in enterprises, and the cloud service application environment will become more complex and complex

Since the past, enterprises still hesitate to implement public cloud because there are only three concerns such as laws and regulations, access efficiency and information security. However, when the Cloud at the Edge is proposed, the public cloud system is directly relocated from the cloud To enterprise room, and computing, storage, middleware access, billing are compared with the original public cloud design, both to maintain the flexibility of public cloud, low cost, but also has the data landing laws and regulations, rapid response, safety control Benefits.

In addition to extending the public cloud market, the in-place public cloud also has attractive features in the private cloud and hybrid cloud markets, new options with low fixed costs in the private cloud market, and reduced complexity in information technology in the hybrid cloud market IDC predicts that the introduction of Cloud at the edge will be faster in the future for large corporations such as financial, manufacturing, government and pure digital or network services companies such as finance, manufacturing, government and non-physical assets in the future. The introduction of various types of cloud services (public cloud, private cloud, hybrid cloud, local public cloud, proprietary cloud ....) will also make the cloud service application environment more diverse and complex.

Artificial intelligence into the terminal

In the past, Artificial Intelligence (AI), which hangs in the clouds, will gradually move towards terminals in 2018, including smartphones, wearable devices and unmanned systems, under the influence of security and privacy protection, response speed and real-time decision-making needs. IDC expects end devices to evolve from "action first" to "AI first" by collecting and learning the habits of the user, with the computing power that the terminal itself can handle, and thus Let the equipment function and operation more in place and fast response.Application of AI in the terminal device is expected to be in the following six directions: voice assistant, advanced photography, intuitive use of the interface to reduce power consumption to extend the battery Use time, improve on-line quality, and increase personal safety protection.

IDC predicts that smartphones equipped with AI chips and applications will shine in 2018 and the most direct and rapid market growth will result in a more concise and intuitive user interface and application that will enable AI to more rapidly shape the ecosystem of end devices. Mobile phone will become the user's most important smartphone-as-a-platform, and the mobile phone will become a "platform" rather than a pure "device" through which the consumer will be linked with more consumers and businesses IDC estimates that 30% of Taiwan's top 500 companies will import "Smartphone-as-a-platform" by 2019 and by 2020 more than a quarter of their Apps will be in Visual computing, deep cognition, augmented reality and other related calculations into the "artificial intelligence" & "deep learning" ability.

V. Information security will be "learning" and "forecasting"

Products and services developed on third-party platforms are commercialized from 2017 onwards. In the face of more and more rapid and agile competitors, "safety" has become a key indicator of the value and reliability of the business. 2017 In the face of an endless stream of targeted and targeted cyber attacks in Taiwan in the coming years, it is foreseeable that the cyberwar will be more complicated in 2018 and automating the attack model will only result in additional costs for businesses. IDC predicts that in 2018 cyber threats will enter into "automated attacks (fool automated attacks) ", many proactive and automated attacks will continue to occur; it is expected that the future cyberwar will become the offensive and defensive battlefield of" analytic automation. "

In the face of such attacks, IDC predicts that in the future Security Products will more aggressively integrate with the Defense Front, including Analytic, User Behavior Analysis, Deception and Isolation ; Enterprise security procurement, but also with the previous purchase behavior of a single product is different, the thinking mode will be towards highly integrated and mechanical learning (Machine Learning) and Cognitive (Cognitive) technology platform to help businesses Reduce complexity and cost; enhance monitoring and management of enterprise networks with visual reports, and increase the "quality" of threat data on the platform.

IDC forecasts that Taiwan's large enterprises, including banking, telecom, life insurance and high-tech industries, will be highly interested in security products with Machine Learning / Cognitive. It is estimated that 43% of large-scale Enterprises will be the first to use learning and forecasting as the core information security services and products.

Sixth, digital transformation accelerated micro-service architecture in the lead

Facing the overwhelming trend of digital transformation, on the one hand, enterprises should transform their existing systems in a more cost-effective way. On the other hand, they should try to apply appropriate new technologies to accelerate the energy of innovation and transformation. To ensure that business processes and system architecture are both positive In response to market changes, more and more enterprises are beginning to embrace openness and refactor their systems with reference to the Microservice Architecture to concatenate modules with an application programming interface (API).

See this market trend, including IBM, VMware and other information service providers are actively providing the corresponding consulting and product services to help finance, manufacturing, medical care and other corporate restructuring and enhance competitiveness IDC predicts that the microservices architecture will be 2018 It has become the mainstream trend of Taiwan's industrial applications, and jointly enhances the enterprise's demand for product services such as container technology and application programming interface management (API Management).

Seven. Blockchain will burst out of growth

IDC looked at the development of Blockchain from a multilevel perspective and found that the blockchain was trying its best to explore various aspects such as mechanism design, maintenance, business model and social acceptability, and many questions and challenges emerged Whether the node should maintain the complete transaction data? Whether the transaction data should be completely open without permission? Whether the transaction must be adopted or not, such as 51% verification, etc. But at the same time, there are many trends and applications to support and accelerate the development of blockchain, Sharing economy, mass outsourcing, crowdfunding, financial science and technology, new payment, etc., and the decentralized features bring low transaction costs and high attractiveness of zero transaction costs, so that the application of blockchain can still enjoy rapid growth .

IDC predicts that by 2021, 85% of Taiwan's financial sector will implement blockchain technology and more than 60% of high-tech manufacturing industries implement blockchain technology in its supply chain management (SCM) Refining technology plays an important influence on the Taiwan market / industrial development.

Eight. Opening up of the enterprise mechanism has taken shape

The rise of new technology has not only changed the mode of operation of enterprises, but also made the industrial boundaries increasingly blurred.In order to speed up innovation and transformation, more and more enterprises are using APIs as a bridge to speed up cooperation with partners in different industries , Enabling rapid rollout of new product offerings in response to market demand and even further transforming the application programming interface from "tools" to "products." In the open enterprise architecture, organizations are opening up Application Programming Interface As a product and service trafficking, IDC believes that companies that rely on information systems to execute their businesses, such as financial services, telecom media, manufacturing and professional information services, are developing rapidly.

Of note, IDC expects the company to have a dedicated team responsible for sales, management and maintenance of the enterprise's "Open Application Programming Interface" in the future, due to the difference between the application programming interface's sales methods and the familiar product and service sales models. With the attitude of opening up enterprises, we will speed up cross-border cooperation and further activate the development of Taiwan's industry.

IX. NB-IoT wins the LPWAN market

Taiwan's total spending in the Internet of Things market is expected to reach 6.86 billion US dollars in 2017, the next five-year compound growth rate is expected to reach 13.9% in the future in the 5G gradual expansion is expected to accelerate the development of the Internet of Things market. 5G is expected to It will be gradually expanded after 2020. Until then, it is expected that a large part of the market will come from the application of NB-IoT technology.

The Internet of Things (IoT) has been launched as a new application service actively deployed by telecom operators many years ago. In various connection technologies of the LPWAN low-power WAN, the connection technology of the NB-IoT narrowband Internet of Things (IoT) developed by 3GPP gradually becomes the 4G And even future 5G service IOT transmission technology NB-IoT has the use of only 200kHz bandwidth, transmission of each data consumes only 50kbps, the device can maintain power for several years features in China, India and the European market support , NB-IoT chip and module costs may also be reduced to within 1 US dollar in the next few years.

IDC observes that almost all Taiwan telecom operators now support NB-IoT technology, although some operators will also be paired with other LPWAN technologies such as LTE-M (Cat-M1) or LoRa and Sigfox promoted by private sector operators. In 2017, NCC will issue three Large telecom operators each 3000000 IoT gate number, all operators from now on actively explore NB-IoT in the Internet of Things application services, the initial main force will be on smart electricity, water, gas meters, fleet management monitoring, intelligence Medical, smart street lamps, smart buildings and homes, etc. The telecom operators are still playing the role of Internet of Things (IoT) at this stage, but the highest revenue and profit from the IoT market come from vendors providing value-added application services. IDC expects that beginning in 2018, In addition to the connectivity, telecom operators will be more active in building the IoT platform and the most important task for eco-alliances with third-party system integrators in their development stage.

Ten Gaming 3.0 is coming

In 2017, the gaming e-book in Taiwan has a penetration rate of 14.8% in consumer laptops, ranking second in the Asia-Pacific market and a leading position in the PC gaming market. As the topic of Gaming continues to heat up, in recent years Taiwan has not only the game population Continued to increase, the rise of the game live platform, coupled with the e-sports movement under the name of the legislative and other factors driven by Taiwan's overall PC gaming market output continued to expand, and began to enter the Gaming 3.0 era. From the past 1.0 times the importance of product specifications, 2.0 era focus on products Design and gaming community, the Gaming 3.0 era focuses on the ecosystem that surrounds the user experience.

The coming 3.0 era, the user-centric starting scene, event, and cross-industry applications will be the Gaming 3.0 era of the most prominent characteristics of the user experience under the influence of trends, IDC expects PC gaming related products in the design of the product, will More focused on the promotion of three directions: First, the overall application around the gaming, and second, to establish a gamer-based R & D team and the third, more diversified marketing pipeline in the marketing pipeline is expected to manufacturers battle group (eSports team and real-time main players will be able to directly link the investment will be more significant IDC is expected in 2018 Taiwan will enter Gaming 3.0 era, and will lead to more new forms of business models and applications.

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