Strong rise, the prospects for the better
In the past decade, China's plastics industry has entered a period of rapid growth, with total plastic production jumping from 17.91 million tonnes in 2004 to 77 million tonnes in 2016.
As an important category of plastics, ABS's capacity also showed a ladder growth - more than 1 million tons in 2004, about 1.8 million tons in 2008, more than 3 million tons in 2012 and 3.7 million tons in 2016.
In recent years, the output trend of abs
In the long run, with the strong rise of China's ABS industry, this growth momentum will continue.
At present, the global manufacturing center to China. With the big trend, China ABS industry in the international market weight steadily increased.According to authoritative data statistics, China's ABS consumption demand accounted for more than 50% of global demand. Corresponding, China ABS international voice of the enterprise gradually strengthened.
In addition to the promotion from the global market, China ABS industry itself also has a huge potential for expansion.
Technical level, although some of the products of some enterprises have been among the forefront of the international, but there is considerable room for growth.For example, the world average of 50:50, Germany and the United States were 63:37 and 70:30. China's steel ratio is only 30:70, urgent 'salted fish turn over'.
A breakthrough in the automotive sector.China's car ownership of about 200 million, the total is not low, but thousands of people holding only 140, equivalent to half a century ago in Japan, below the world average. Can be expected, China's auto industry Will continue to advance at the same time, China has identified the goal of lightweight car in the 'lightweight' requirements, the plastic alternative metal is inevitable . As the main force of the 'plastic and steel', ABS application prospects are bright.
Household appliances on the demand for ABS is also very large. Refrigerator, air conditioning, washing machines, televisions, etc., have been widely used ABS resin.On the other hand, in recent years, smart appliances outbreak in the selection of materials, smart appliances more favor ABS Resin industry, the market penetration rate of intelligent washing machines and refrigerators will increase from 13% and 3% to 45% and 20% respectively. By 2020, the overall output value of China's smart home appliances will exceed 1 trillion yuan. Will certainly be transmitted to the ABS industry.
At present, China's plastic products manufacturing market revenue reached 3.24 trillion yuan, accounting for 4.35% of total GDP.According to industry estimates, China's modified plastic market capacity should be trillion level, will become a new growth point. This means that China's modified plastics industry, including ABS resin, will maintain a good momentum of growth.
Industry shock, open change situation
Although the prospects for the better, but should not be avoided is that the current Chinese ABS industry really suffered a major crisis.
In 2013, China's ABS capacity growth rate of nearly 16%, but the growth rate in 2014 fell to 4.27% .2015 production capacity is still growing, production has negative growth, down 5.66% year on year decline in the market downturn in small and medium enterprises In 2015, ABS overall operating rate of less than 63%, the scene can be described as bleak.
'Production capacity growth year after year, the number of production has been a fall, which is why? There are many reasons.
From a macro perspective, China's economic growth has been reduced for many years, especially the real economy is more serious decline by this background, the plastic industry slowed down, or even negative growth, originally in reason.
From the point of view, the past two years the country vigorously promote the industrial structure adjustment, ABS industry also will enter the consolidation stage.One of its specific performance is the upper reaches of the ABS industry chain - petrochemical manufacturers a substantial price increase, resulting in Raw materials Prices skyrocketed
For example, more than a month, the styrene soared more than 20%, once reached 11850 yuan / ton. Butadiene since the end of July this year, up about 58% .For styrene and butadiene as the main raw material ABS Industry, their huge gains undoubtedly constitute a huge cost pressure.
From the micro level, China ABS enterprises themselves there are many problems. On the number of China, there are about 3,000 modified plastic enterprises, most can produce ABS products, but the annual output of 10,000 tons less. In addition to the general scale Small outside, technological innovation and quality assurance ability is lacking.
All these, resulting in a single domestic ABS production products, homogenization of serious, so that China's ABS industry in the international market, the lack of voice, but also vulnerable to the external environment, by other competitive categories of erosion.
However, dramatic changes in the macro and meso-level levels will have or have had a profound impact on the micro level.
In the case of high raw material costs, and the short term can not significantly decline in the case, those low-cost long known ABS enterprises are facing an unprecedented predicament.On the contrary, focusing on research and development and long-term investment enterprises, this round of crisis pregnant The
On the one hand, although the price of raw materials caused the same pressure, but the workshop-style enterprises out of the ABS field, to a certain extent, improved industrial ecology.
On the other hand, excellent companies have to capture the downstream industry chain, such as automotive, home appliances and other areas of the demand for sensitivity, and these areas of change, will create endless opportunities.
Obviously, with the rising cost of production, technological innovation is increasingly urgent situation gradually formed, China ABS industry is ushered in re-shuffle. Change, has been vigorous to start.