From a technical point of view, I personally think that after 2040 may also fly a little, before enough to choke. 'Recently, Tsinghua Automotive Engineering Development Research Institute executive vice president, State Key Laboratory of Automotive Safety and Energy, Song Jian in the' 2018 China Auto Taurus Award Ceremony ', for the recent period of' fuel trucks when to withdraw from the stage of history ',' national ban on fuel truck schedule ',' electric car comprehensive alternative to traditional fuel vehicles' and other hot topics published this view.
The current major cross-border car prices have also clear their own fuel vehicle sale time or vehicle electricization of the specific process.For example, Mercedes-Benz recently announced that it will be in 2022 before the entire car product line to achieve all the electric, Fuel vehicles are fully discontinued for sale.Currently Toyota related person in charge said: 'In 2040, the traditional gasoline engine will be completely disappeared.' Especially in September this year, the Ministry of Industry officials said: 'has started the relevant research, Formulate China's own timetable.
Tsinghua Automobile Engineering Development Research Institute executive vice president, deputy director of the State Key Laboratory of Automotive Safety and Energy Song Jian
In recent years, the domestic new energy vehicles, especially pure electric vehicles in the policy of the strong support of the rapid development of sales increased significantly.There are experts pointed out that 'to 2025, the electric car's The price will be more than the traditional fuel vehicles. 'In this regard, technical experts from the Song Jian that from the current technological development,' or not. 'And, he believes that aside the technical factors, just look at' now In Beijing who will shake the number of fuel vehicles to take after the purchase of electric cars', you can see the gap.
'When the current fuel vehicles to withdraw from the stage of history, technically not progress is no chance.' Song Jian believes that the current electric car to a comprehensive alternative to traditional fuel vehicles, power battery is still a major bottleneck, 'battery packs and fuel vehicles Fuel tank ratio, the current price is still relatively high '.
'Of course, the battery can be used, than the energy, than the power with the past has greatly improved, but the security has improved?' Song Jian that, although the current order of magnitude, the security problem is not too prominent, but with The popularity of electric vehicles, battery safety is the current development of electric vehicles must pay attention to the problem.
In addition, the question of how to recover the power battery is also the focus of the current industry.According to the forecast, 2018 will be a small peak of vehicle power battery recycling.While by 2020, China's lithium battery accumulated scrap will reach 200,000 tons. In response to this problem, Song Jian did not talk about pollution from the perspective of environmental protection, he believes that from the perspective of sustainable energy use, gasoline and diesel are non-renewable energy, has become increasingly scarce, his concern is 'If the lithium resource is made into a battery, once used up to waste the heap there, how can we continue to apply (that we must consider to achieve).
'A safety performance problem, a recycling problem, these two problems are resolved, and then talk about how our new energy vehicles to replace the fuel car thing, I think it is reliable.' Song said.